Anthony O'Hagan, Jeremy E. Oakley. Probability is perfect, but we can't elicit it perfectly. Rel. Eng. & Sys. Safety, 85(1-3):239-248, 2004. [doi]
@article{OHaganO04,
title = {Probability is perfect, but we can't elicit it perfectly},
author = {Anthony O'Hagan and Jeremy E. Oakley},
year = {2004},
doi = {10.1016/j.ress.2004.03.014},
url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.ress.2004.03.014},
researchr = {https://researchr.org/publication/OHaganO04},
cites = {0},
citedby = {0},
journal = {Rel. Eng. & Sys. Safety},
volume = {85},
number = {1-3},
pages = {239-248},
}