The Aggregative Contingent Estimation System: Selecting, Rewarding, and Training Experts in a Wisdom of Crowds Approach to Forecasting

Dirk B. Warnaar, Edgar C. Merkle, Mark Steyvers, Thomas S. Wallsten, Eric R. Stone, David V. Budescu, J. Frank Yates, Winston R. Sieck, Hal R. Arkes, Chris F. Argenta, Youngwon Shin, Jennifer N. Carter. The Aggregative Contingent Estimation System: Selecting, Rewarding, and Training Experts in a Wisdom of Crowds Approach to Forecasting. In Wisdom of the Crowd, Papers from the 2012 AAAI Spring Symposium, Palo Alto, California, USA, March 26-28, 2012. Volume SS-12-06 of AAAI Technical Report, AAAI, 2012. [doi]

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