Towards a Theory of Confidence in Market-Based Predictions

Rupert Freeman, David M. Pennock, Daniel M. Reeves, David M. Rothschild, Bo Waggoner. Towards a Theory of Confidence in Market-Based Predictions. In Andrés Cano, Jasper De Bock, Enrique Miranda 0001, Serafín Moral, editors, International Symposium on Imprecise Probability: Theories and Applications, ISIPTA 2021, 6-9 July 2021, University of Granada, Granada, Spain. Volume 147 of Proceedings of Machine Learning Research, pages 365-368, PMLR, 2021. [doi]

Abstract

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