Testing the scenario hypothesis: An experimental comparison of scenarios and forecasts for decision support in a complex decision environment

Min Gong, Robert Lempert, Andrew Parker, Lauren A. Mayer, Jordan Fischbach, Matthew Sisco, Zhimin Mao, David H. Krantz, Howard Kunreuther. Testing the scenario hypothesis: An experimental comparison of scenarios and forecasts for decision support in a complex decision environment. Environmental Modelling and Software, 91:135-155, 2017. [doi]

@article{GongLPMFSMKK17,
  title = {Testing the scenario hypothesis: An experimental comparison of scenarios and forecasts for decision support in a complex decision environment},
  author = {Min Gong and Robert Lempert and Andrew Parker and Lauren A. Mayer and Jordan Fischbach and Matthew Sisco and Zhimin Mao and David H. Krantz and Howard Kunreuther},
  year = {2017},
  doi = {10.1016/j.envsoft.2017.02.002},
  url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.envsoft.2017.02.002},
  researchr = {https://researchr.org/publication/GongLPMFSMKK17},
  cites = {0},
  citedby = {0},
  journal = {Environmental Modelling and Software},
  volume = {91},
  pages = {135-155},
}