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Testing the scenario hypothesis: An experimental comparison of scenarios and forecasts for decision support in a complex decision environment

Min Gong, Robert Lempert, Andrew Parker, Lauren A. Mayer, Jordan Fischbach, Matthew Sisco, Zhimin Mao, David H. Krantz, Howard Kunreuther. Testing the scenario hypothesis: An experimental comparison of scenarios and forecasts for decision support in a complex decision environment. Environmental Modelling and Software, 91:135-155, 2017. [doi]

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