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Confidence Calibration in a Multiyear Geopolitical Forecasting Competition

Don A. Moore, Samuel A. Swift, Angela Minster, Barbara A. Mellers, Lyle H. Ungar, Philip Tetlock, Heather H. J. Yang, Elizabeth R. Tenney. Confidence Calibration in a Multiyear Geopolitical Forecasting Competition. Management Science, 63(11):3552-3565, 2017. [doi]

Authors

Don A. Moore

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Samuel A. Swift

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Angela Minster

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Barbara A. Mellers

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Lyle H. Ungar

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Philip Tetlock

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Heather H. J. Yang

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Elizabeth R. Tenney

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