Don A. Moore, Samuel A. Swift, Angela Minster, Barbara A. Mellers, Lyle H. Ungar, Philip Tetlock, Heather H. J. Yang, Elizabeth R. Tenney. Confidence Calibration in a Multiyear Geopolitical Forecasting Competition. Management Science, 63(11):3552-3565, 2017. [doi]
@article{MooreSMMUTYT17,
title = {Confidence Calibration in a Multiyear Geopolitical Forecasting Competition},
author = {Don A. Moore and Samuel A. Swift and Angela Minster and Barbara A. Mellers and Lyle H. Ungar and Philip Tetlock and Heather H. J. Yang and Elizabeth R. Tenney},
year = {2017},
doi = {10.1287/mnsc.2016.2525},
url = {https://doi.org/10.1287/mnsc.2016.2525},
researchr = {https://researchr.org/publication/MooreSMMUTYT17},
cites = {0},
citedby = {0},
journal = {Management Science},
volume = {63},
number = {11},
pages = {3552-3565},
}