Probabilities Are All You Need: A Probability-Only Approach to Uncertainty Estimation in Large Language Models

Manh Nguyen, Sunil Gupta 0001, Hung Le 0002. Probabilities Are All You Need: A Probability-Only Approach to Uncertainty Estimation in Large Language Models. In Sven Koenig, Chad Jenkins, Matthew E. Taylor, editors, Fortieth AAAI Conference on Artificial Intelligence, Thirty-Eighth Conference on Innovative Applications of Artificial Intelligence, Sixteenth Symposium on Educational Advances in Artificial Intelligence, AAAI 2026, Singapore, January 20-27, 2026. pages 32546-32554, AAAI Press, 2026. [doi]

Authors

Manh Nguyen

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Sunil Gupta 0001

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Hung Le 0002

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