Robert L. Winkler - researchr alias

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Viewing Publication 1 - 30 from 30

2022

Extremizing and Antiextremizing in Bayesian Ensembles of Binary-Event ForecastsKenneth C. Lichtendahl Jr., Yael Grushka-Cockayne, Victor Richmond R. Jose, Robert L. Winkler. ior, 70(5):2998-3014, 2022. [doi]

Technical Note - Ranking Distributions When Only Means and Variances Are KnownAlfred Müller, Marco Scarsini, Ilia Tsetlin, Robert L. Winkler. ior, 70(5):2851-2859, 2022. [doi]

2019

Probability Forecasts and Their Combination: A Research PerspectiveRobert L. Winkler, Yael Grushka-Cockayne, Kenneth C. Lichtendahl Jr., Victor Richmond R. Jose. da, 16(4):239-260, 2019. [doi]

2018

When to Abandon a Research Project and Search for a New OneKevin F. McCardle, Ilia Tsetlin, Robert L. Winkler. ior, 66(3):799-813, 2018. [doi]

2017

Combining Interval ForecastsAnil Gaba, Ilia Tsetlin, Robert L. Winkler. da, 14(1):1-20, 2017. [doi]

Quantile Evaluation, Sensitivity to Bracketing, and Sharing Business PayoffsYael Grushka-Cockayne, Kenneth C. Lichtendahl Jr., Victor Richmond R. Jose, Robert L. Winkler. ior, 65(3):712-728, 2017. [doi]

Between First- and Second-Order Stochastic DominanceAlfred Müller, Marco Scarsini, Ilia Tsetlin, Robert L. Winkler. mansci, 63(9):2933-2947, 2017. [doi]

2015

Generalized Almost Stochastic DominanceIlia Tsetlin, Robert L. Winkler, Rachel J. Huang, Larry Y. Tzeng. ior, 63(2):363-377, 2015. [doi]

2013

Is It Better to Average Probabilities or Quantiles?Kenneth C. Lichtendahl Jr., Yael Grushka-Cockayne, Robert L. Winkler. mansci, 59(7):1594-1611, 2013. [doi]

2012

Multiattribute One-Switch UtilityIlia Tsetlin, Robert L. Winkler. mansci, 58(3):602-605, 2012. [doi]

2011

Tailored Scoring Rules for ProbabilitiesDavid J. Johnstone, Victor Richmond R. Jose, Robert L. Winkler. da, 8(4):256-268, 2011. [doi]

2009

Sensitivity to Distance and Baseline Distributions in Forecast EvaluationVictor Richmond R. Jose, Robert F. Nau, Robert L. Winkler. mansci, 55(4):582-590, 2009. [doi]

Evaluating Quantile AssessmentsVictor Richmond R. Jose, Robert L. Winkler. ior, 57(5):1287-1297, 2009. [doi]

Multiattribute Utility Satisfying a Preference for Combining Good with BadIlia Tsetlin, Robert L. Winkler. mansci, 55(12):1942-1952, 2009. [doi]

2008

Scoring Rules, Generalized Entropy, and Utility MaximizationVictor Richmond R. Jose, Robert F. Nau, Robert L. Winkler. ior, 56(5):1146-1157, 2008. [doi]

2007

Probability Elicitation, Scoring Rules, and Competition Among ForecastersKenneth C. Lichtendahl Jr., Robert L. Winkler. mansci, 53(11):1745-1755, 2007. [doi]

Decision Making with Multiattribute Performance Targets: The Impact of Changes in Performance and Target DistributionsIlia Tsetlin, Robert L. Winkler. ior, 55(2):226-233, 2007. [doi]

2006

The Optimizer s Curse: Skepticism and Postdecision Surprise in Decision AnalysisJames E. Smith, Robert L. Winkler. mansci, 52(3):311-322, 2006. [doi]

On Equivalent Target-Oriented Formulations for Multiattribute UtilityIlia Tsetlin, Robert L. Winkler. da, 3(2):94-99, 2006. [doi]

2005

Risky Choices and Correlated Background RiskIlia Tsetlin, Robert L. Winkler. mansci, 51(9):1336-1345, 2005. [doi]

2004

Modifying Variability and Correlations in Winner-Take-All ContestsAnil Gaba, Ilia Tsetlin, Robert L. Winkler. ior, 52(3):384-395, 2004. [doi]

Multiple Experts vs. Multiple Methods: Combining Correlation AssessmentsRobert L. Winkler, Robert T. Clemen. da, 1(3):167-176, 2004. [doi]

1999

Casey's Problem: Interpreting and Evaluating a New TestJames E. Smith, Robert L. Winkler. interfaces, 29(3):63-76, 1999. [doi]

1995

An Assessment of the Risk of Chronic Lung Injury Attributable to Long-Term Ozone ExposureRobert L. Winkler, Thomas S. Wallsten, Ronald G. Whitfield, Harvey M. Richmond, Stanley R. Hayes, Arlene S. Rosenbaum. ior, 43(1):19-28, 1995. [doi]

1992

Sensitivity of Weights in Combining ForecastsRobert L. Winkler, Robert T. Clemen. ior, 40(3):609-614, 1992. [doi]

1985

1980

Competitive Bidding with Dependent Value EstimatesRobert L. Winkler, Daniel G. Brooks. ior, 28(3-Part-I):603-613, 1980. [doi]

1973

Information Aggregation in Probabilistic PredictionRobert L. Winkler, Allan H. Murphy. tsmc, 3(2):154-160, 1973. [doi]

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