Extremizing and Antiextremizing in Bayesian Ensembles of Binary-Event Forecasts

Kenneth C. Lichtendahl Jr., Yael Grushka-Cockayne, Victor Richmond R. Jose, Robert L. Winkler. Extremizing and Antiextremizing in Bayesian Ensembles of Binary-Event Forecasts. Operations Research, 70(5):2998-3014, 2022. [doi]

Abstract

Abstract is missing.