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People generate naïve theories to explain probabilistic outcomes even if their theory's predictive power is near zero

David A. Bosch. People generate naïve theories to explain probabilistic outcomes even if their theory's predictive power is near zero. In David Barner, Neil Bramley, Azzurra Ruggeri, Caren M. Walker, editors, Proceedings of the 47th Annual Meeting of the Cognitive Science Society, CogSci 2025, San Francisco, CA, USA, July 30 - August 2, 2025. cognitivesciencesociety.org, 2025. [doi]

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